Why the First Presidential Debate May Decide the Election

With apologies to George Ramos, this year the first presidential debate is the Big Enchilada. Independent voters will finally be tuning in to see both candidates boca–y–boca. This cumulative first impression will probably decide the election.

And what will Independents be concerned about? Many are participating in betting pools based on the exact time Hillary will cough, with over–unders on duration and intensity.

hillary-healthNot since Ronald Reagan’s second debate with Walter Mondale has candidate health been a primary topic. That was in 1984 and health was a byproduct of the first debate after Reagan appeared to be a quart low on formaldehyde. His answers were sometimes confused and the Gipper looked old.

The disastrous performance seemed to confirm the mainstream media’s unsubtle attempts to portray Reagan, at 73, as too old and feeble to function during a second term.

Mondale knew the election would ride on Reagan’s performance in the rematch. Reagan knew it, too. When he was asked a question designed to remind voters of the first debate and put him at a disadvantage, the Gipper defied expectations and won the election with a single answer:

Moderator: Mr. President, I want to raise an issue that I think has been lurking out there for 2 or 3 weeks and cast it specifically in national security terms. You already are the oldest President in history…President Kennedy had to go for days on end with very little sleep during the Cuban missile crisis. Is there any doubt in your mind that you would be able to function in such circumstances?

Reagan: Not at all. I want you to know that also I will not make age an issue of this campaign. I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent’s youth and inexperience.

The surprised laughter of the audience, and even members of the media, washed away any hope Mondale had of winning.

Clinton, at 68, is actually the younger of the two candidates, but that hasn’t kept her campaign out of the intensive care unit for the last two weeks. Her cough. Her concussion. And her Crazy–legs Hillary spaz–out as she was tossed into a van are causing voters to wonder if they are “Ready for Hillary” or the staff at Johns Hopkins.

Hillary may have to address her health, but it won’t be with humor. She would either have to bring a water bottle, surgical mask or Taser on stage as payoffs for her multiple explanations and changing health diagnoses, and that’s two jokes too many.

But the health question is not guaranteed.

The media asked Reagan a loaded question because it wanted him to lose. These Democrats–with–bylines would much prefer to avoid Hillary’s health, because it would help Trump. As long as Hillary isn’t brought to her chair riding on a gurney or rolled on stage like a barrel of Oktoberfest beer she’ll be fine until the questions start.

I’ve been told that in a break with past debates, Hillary will be allowed to have one ornamental shrub to her left, mostly to obscure the saline drip. And both candidates will be allowed one bottle of water or Robitussin.

The first moderator, Lester Holt, has announced debate topics for the Sept. 26th event: America’s Direction, Achieve Prosperity and Securing America. None of which lend themselves to asking if she can “power through” four years in the Oval Office. The segments will cover 30 minutes each broken into two 15–minute portions. During the pause one medical professional will be allowed to approach Hillary.

The debate will be carried by the three broadcast networks, cable news networks and Univision — which will save money by having all Trump’s Spanish subtitles read: “Trump: ‘All Mexicans are rapists.’”

Right the first debate is predicted to set a record with total viewers approaching 100 million. I haven’t placed any bets myself, but I am wondering will she cough? And when?

More than one observer has predicted Clinton will have so much codeine in her she’ll be lucky to talk, much less cough. This stands to reason since a codeine overdose is not all that different from the usual Hillary: Slow, labored breathing with cold, clammy skin.

Trump’s job will be to keep the pressure on Hillary and not allow the debate to turn into a wonk–fest where she dominates with an avalanche of minutia and acronyms. If he’s witty and relaxed, while she’s leaden and uptight, Trump can count it a victory.

Even without the cough–heard–round–the–world.

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NeverTrump Hosts Three Out of Four Debates

Traveling to Mexico City to meet one–on–one with the camarón chauvinist, President Enrique Peña Nieto, is nothing compared to the high–stakes negotiation facing Donald Trump today. The commissars on presidential debates have made their moderator selections and these hanging judges make Gonzalo Curiel look like a friend of the family.

walking-dead-liberal-mediaThe moderation panel is composed of four Democrats and one journalist. The Democrats include NBC anchor Lester Holt, CNN’s Anderson Cooper, ABC’s Martha Raddatz and CBS’ Elaine Quijano. Evidently four tokens were enough, because the last slot went to FOX News’ Chris Wallace.

Yet for some bizarre reason, Trump claims to be happy with the “journalists” and is ready to attend his three debates.

If only the commissars had made Khizr Khan one of the group, Trump might be roused to defend himself.

Enduring Holt for the first debate is a given. Trying to bounce him would be like going to Detroit to evict black renters instead of attending a black church.

The other debates are a different story. Trump can try the art of the deal to invoke moderator change, if he works at it. You can have all my thoughts on the matter by clicking on the Newsmax.com link below.

http://www.newsmax.com/MichaelShannon/debates-moderator-moderators/2016/09/06/id/746976/

 

Ask President Romney How Well Being Respectful Works

I’m wondering if Trump will ever be able to hire a top–level campaign staffer who actually helps the campaign. We’re on at least the third set of top advisors (fourth if you count the in–and–out–and–in Roger Stone). So far the only distinction this has conferred on the Orange One is that his may be the first campaign in history to wear out an “Under New Management” sign.

newmanagement_sign2009wwEvery addition to the Trumpista Junta adds new contradictions and new distractions. Worse it gives the mainstream media a legitimate excuse to ignore Trump’s issues and instead concentrate on intrigue.

So far it’s Byzantium without the eunuchs.

This time Trump traded Paul Manafort who was said to have unsavory ties with shadowy Ukrainian strongmen for Stephen Bannon who supposedly has unsavory ties with the KKK’s Invisible Empire.

That looks like a wash to me.

I can’t say the same for the woman who was named campaign manager, pollster Kellyanne Conway. It’s more than a little suspicious that just days after Conway joins the campaign there’s another position reversal controversy when Trump appears to go wobbly on illegal aliens.

Particularly when we recall Conway was a paid advisor to FWD.us, a Mark Zuckerberg open borders, cheap labor, amnesty–supporting, sovereignty–undermining organization.

 

So what happens now? I’ll give you a hint: Trump’s most valued campaign aide comes to the rescue. What’s more, there is valuable debate advice for Supreme Leader Trump. All that’s required is clicking on the link below. (You won’t be sorry.)

http://www.newsmax.com/MichaelShannon/debates-media/2016/08/30/id/745887/

 

Romney Debates Candy Obama

Candy Crowley: Pound for pound the worst debate moderator ever.

The Commission on Presidential Debates lowered the altitude for the second contest by 5,200 feet and simultaneously dropped the level of discourse considerably farther.

The candidates repeatedly interrupted each other, called one another liars and generally argued at a sixth–grade level. (Good enough for a passing under No Child Left Behind!) Yet in the end Mitt Romney was able to battle the tag team of Barack Obama and Candy Crowley to a draw.

CBS anchor Scott Pelley called it the “most rancorous presidential debate ever” and wondered why the Secret Service didn’t step in to protect Obama. And it’s true Romney delivered the first jab saying Obama was the one who took Government Motors into bankruptcy, while he only discussed it. But Obama, with timely assistance from “moderator” Crowley, gave as good as he got.

Both the National Journal and Forbes rated the bout a draw, which represents improvement over the President’s lethargic first effort in Denver.

In Denver BO suffered from bad body language. While Romney was talking, the incumbent slumped in his chair and appeared to be sneering as he dozed.

Evidently one of his corner men suggested he sit up and tilt a bit toward Romney so the President would look alert and engaged. In fact, still photos of the event show Obama leaning so far forward he looks like the new mascot for MSNBC.

His answers were less flabby, too. Last night he had new, improved responses featuring a specific number of “points.” So instead of Denver’s rambling discourses with no internal organization, the audience was treated to vague, vacuous bullet points.

And Obama attempted a more vigorous strategy in his own defense. My notes of the transcript read, “Yada yada yada, liar, liar, pants on fire. Yada yada yada, liar, liar pants on fire.” Which in truth is not much of a rebuttal strategy, although it quickens the blood of the more rabid elements of the Democrat base.

One technique Obama didn’t change was whining to the moderator about time. Could there be anything less presidential? Unfortunately, it’s working. Obama is now eight minutes ahead of Romney in total speaking time.

To put this in perspective, it’s enough time for a rousing defense of Libya and Solyndra with plenty of time left over to remind the audience that Romney’s rich.

And Libya was one of the topics. You’ll recall the administration initially claimed the attack was not something for which enlightened people could blame Moslems. The murder of our ambassador was a spontaneous reaction to a bad Internet video and couldn’t be helped, like projectile vomiting at Seafood Joe’s after swallowing a bad shrimp.

When asked who refused the request for more security at the consulate, Obama simply dodged the question. He explained after the attack his administration leapt into action: it beefed up security at the embassies that were still standing and dispatched Forest Service aircraft to drop fire retardant on those that were in flames.

As for Libya, as soon as the drones are refueled, Obama intends to see that there is a thorough, robust investigation that will hold accountable those responsible.

Here Romney dropped the ball. The obvious response to this butt–covering is to point out that if the late Ambassador Stevens had been offered a choice between a thorough investigation after his death or a detachment of Marine guards before; most likely he would have opted for the Marines.

Instead Mitt got into a semantics duel with a sophist over when Obama admitted Libya was a terror attack. They were fighting it out among the rose bushes when Crowley interrupted and declared Obama called it a terror attack the day after. In effect ruling that Romney didn’t know what he was talking about. But after the debate was over and TV audience gone, Crowley admitted Romney was right after all.

There was also fighting on the domestic front as Obama continued agitating for all out class war. Sounding a lot like the judge in The Dark Knight Rises, Obama put the wealthy on trial and found them guilty of being rich and not paying enough taxes. It would not have been surprising to learn he had traded his lapel flag for a miniature crossed torch–and–pitchfork pin.

Still “Pitchfork Ben” Obama may not have played well with undecided voters. The Weekly Standard reports the MSNBC focus group appeared convinced by Mitt and the 2008 voters for Obama panel, assembled for FOX by Frank Luntz, moved decisively to Romney after the debate.

All in all it looks bad for Barack’s career prospects: he’s not animated enough to be an MSNBC commentator and he’s not convincing enough to be re–elected.

 

All Massachusetts People Look Alike to Me

John Kerry recalls why he loathes unscripted campaign events.

When I first read that Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry (D–Noblesse Oblige) had been recruited to play the opponent during practice presidential debates, I considered it an inspired choice.

There is a slight problem with respective ages for the two candidates, but otherwise everything else is perfect. One pretentious, cliché–ridden windbag impersonating another is excellent practice for when the curtain goes up in October.

Nothing inspires confidence like realistic training. It’s good to know our candidate will be ready when the media starts firing probing questions regarding plans to counteract the nationwide contraceptive famine and the long lines of homosexuals crowding emergency rooms after being refused visitation rights.

And to be fair, my first thought was this action combined an impressive sacrifice on John Kerry’s part, on both a personal and professional level, with a sincere attempt to make amends for past mistakes.

I was concerned about how the Massachusetts’ black community would react and if his participation as a debate stand–in would harm the senator’s re–election prospects. But in this instance the end truly justifies the means and the loss of Kerry’s senate seat is a small price to pay if that’s what it takes to elect Mitt Romney as our next president.

But then I discovered Kerry is not portraying Barack Obama in debate rehearsals, he’s portraying Mitt Romney, which means everything is wrong. Nothing propinques like propinquity and both men are from Massachusetts, but choosing Kerry to impersonate Romney is just more evidence of an out of touch Obama campaign.

The two candidate’s personalities could not be more disparate; starting with unscripted moments on the stump. Yes, Mitt tries too hard. He’s a bit awkward. And when he tells a joke Romney acts like he’s reading from a fortune cookie in the original Chinese, but in comparison John Kerry makes Romney look like Jim Carrey.

Who will ever forget “I’m John Kerry and I’m reporting for duty?” A cringe–inducing image that pegged the hokey meter.

In a crowd or on stage Mitt almost looks natural and relaxed. Kerry looks like he’s attending an autopsy. And although the American’s With Disabilities Act has made wheelchair access to political stages much easier, the law has done nothing to ease the passage of Sen. Kerry’s sedan chair as he tries to get closer to the podium. And long walks through the crowd are always a problem, since the senator does not like to be touched.

Mike Huckabee, comparing himself to Romney, once joked, “I want to be a president who reminds you of the guy you work with, not the guy who laid you off.” Kerry reminds me of the guy wearing a cowl who says, “The executioner will see you now.”

Romney is simply a victim of driving while affluent. The MSM likes the Kerry choice because he “is uber–wealthy, like Romney” and both have changed political positions before and during campaigns. As Jack Cafferty said, “One elite, rich, emotionless Massachusetts politician filling in for another.”

But Kerry’s money arrived via his marriage to the uber–rich Teresa Heinz a sort of government–approved program called share–the–wealth matrimony style. While Romney actually earned his.

Kerry’s position changes are viewed as Darwinian in that they “evolved” from a position progressives didn’t like into one they did. Whereas Romney is characterized as flip–flopping on the beach like a mackerel stranded by “global warming” because his positions became more conservative.

Even though the Obama campaign has made a terrible choice, that does not mean the pressure is off the Romney campaign. Their choice of an Obama stand–in is even more fraught with peril. In 2008 the McCain traveling circus could get away with choosing lily–white former Congressman Rob Portman to impersonate Obama, but that was when Barack was still the “post racial” candidate.

Now that he’s “most racial” candidate, choosing a honkie for Hussein is a good way to get Al Sharpton to picket Debate Training Central. It’s got to be a black man and that, through no fault of their own, puts Republicans in a bind.

Cong. Alan West is out because he’s too intense and he obviously believes in what he says. Former Congressman J. C. Watts is out because he’s too genuine.

What we need is a black politician with a certain amount of presence and excellent speaking skills, but at the same time is an indifferent manager with a tenuous grasp of financial matters.

Hmmm. Does anyone know what former RNC Chairman Michael Steele is doing these days?